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On February 24, 2022, 11:43:51 AM UTC, Gravatar Andreas Jahn:
  • Updated description of resource Spectrum File in Malawi HIV Estimates 2022 from

    Revised EPP fit using AIM6.14, used default survey breastfeeding parameters. ART coverage fitting option disabled. Updated ART projection for adults 2022-2030 to avoid coverage decline from estimated 2021 coverage. __Preliminary__ 2022 AIM file with extrapolated Q4 2021 program data and new (final) MPHIA 2020 survey estimates (regional prevalence, incidence, ART coverage). Based on Malawi_2021_v15_AIM_v6.06). EPP fit with survey ART coverage option __off__ (for MPHIA 2015 and 2020) as fitting with survey coverage resulted in very narrow EPP uncertainty bounds and somewhat higher historical trends for prevalence and PLHIV [to be further investigated].
    to
    Revised EPP fit using AIM6.14, used default survey breastfeeding parameters. ART coverage fitting option disabled. Updated ART projection for adults 2022-2030 to avoid coverage decline from estimated 2021 coverage. Based on Malawi_2021_v15_AIM_v6.06. EPP fit with survey ART coverage option __off__ (for MPHIA 2015 and 2020) as fitting with survey coverage resulted in very narrow EPP uncertainty bounds and somewhat higher historical trends for prevalence and PLHIV [to be further investigated].